Atrial fibrillation and physical activity

Br J Cardiol 2025;32:87–90doi:10.5837/bjc.2025.035 Leave a comment
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First published online 6th August 2025

Habitual physical activity improves cardiovascular health but there is a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in endurance athletes. The physiological processes underlying this observation are not fully understood, but adaptations to exercise, such as bradycardia and atrial dilatation, may contribute to arrhythmia susceptibility. Further data on long-term implications and individualised management strategies in athletes with AF are required.

Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia with an estimated prevalence in the UK of 3%.1 Epidemiological studies have shown a 12–20% reduction in the risk of AF in individuals who engage in guideline-recommended physical activity levels.2,3 However, the reduction in AF risk appears to diminish with increasing doses of exercise, with contemporary data proposing a paradoxical rise in the risk of AF with the highest doses of exercise; suggesting a U-shaped dose-response relationship (figure 1).4

Davies - Figure 1. The extreme exercise hypothesis whereby the benefits of exercise are reduced in extreme training volumes
Figure 1. The extreme exercise hypothesis4 whereby the benefits of exercise are reduced in extreme training volumes

Andersen et al. were the first to robustly show that competitive endurance exercise paradoxically increases the risk of AF. In 52,000 cross-country skiers, athletes with the fastest finishing times (hazard ratio [HR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04 to 1.62) and the most number of races completed (HR 1.30, 95%CI 1.08 to 1.58) had the highest relative risk of developing AF.5 These observations are supported by a meta-analysis of 13 studies with 6,816 athletes and 63,662 controls, which found endurance athletes to have a two-fold risk of AF.6

Mechanisms of AF in endurance athletes

There are no unanimously accepted mechanisms to explain the observed risk of AF in endurance athletes. However, cardiovascular adaptations to endurance exercise are well described, and many of these are associated with arrhythmogenic potential. These can be described in the context of Coumel’s triangle of arrhythmogenesis, which describes three critical pathophysiological processes that generate arrhythmias: a substrate, modulator, and trigger (figure 2).7

Davies - Figure 2. Coumel’s triangle of arrhythmogenesis
Figure 2. Coumel’s triangle of arrhythmogenesis

Exercise induces autonomic modulation

Endurance exercise is commonly observed to result in a lower resting heart rate, which is thought to be a surrogate measure of parasympathetic cardiac tone exerted by the vagus nerve. High vagal tone slows heart rate through the sinoatrial node and slows the conduction through the atrioventricular (AV) node, leading to longer PR intervals on an electrocardiogram (ECG), which has been associated with individuals with higher aerobic fitness,8 and shortening of the atrial refractory period (the period of repolarisation and non-excitability after an impulse). It has been shown that increased vagal tone can lead to enhanced AF inducibility. In a rodent model, exercised rats displayed increased parasympathetic tone (measured by heart rate changes after pharmacological blockage) after 16 weeks of treadmill training. The right atrial refractory period was shortened to 34.4 ± 0.7 ms in exercised rats compared with 37.0 ± 0.9 ms in sedentary rats.9 Furthermore, a porcine model found larger atrial surface area and shorter effective refractory period were associated with an increase in sustained AF.10

AF vulnerability can also be enhanced in periods of higher vagal tone. A study of 15 AF patients found that 74% of atrial tachyarrhythmias occurred between 8pm and 8am.11 During slow-wave sleep, the body enters high vagal nerve activity, which may shorten the atrial refractory period, allowing atrial cells to be triggered more frequently, which may facilitate AF.12

Atrial ectopy triggers in endurance athletes

The triggering event in exercise-induced AF is unclear, however, as atrial ectopy is thought to increase following physical activity in the general population, it has been proposed as a possible triggering event in exercise-induced AF. In a study of 60 runners, those with higher lifetime training hours (>4,500 hours) had an increased incidence of premature atrial contractions, along with increased parasympathetic tone and left atrial (LA) volume.13 However, a study of 134 endurance athletes with equal age and sex-matched controls found no difference in the burden of premature atrial beats between groups.14 Further research evaluating potential AF-triggering events in this population is needed.

The athlete’s heart as a substrate for arrhythmogenesis

Exercise-induced cardiac remodelling is a compensatory response to the haemodynamic demands associated with exercise. Typical adaptations include a proportional increase in cardiac volumes in all four chambers with a limited change in mass, described as the athlete’s heart phenotype.15 LA remodelling is of particular interest in the pathogenesis of exercise-induced AF. Due to their thin walls and elliptical shape, the atria are more susceptible to sheer wall stress and wall stretch, which may elicit a stronger signal for adaptive remodelling when compared with the ventricles. Furthermore, there is a decrease in diastolic time during exercise, which increases the relative time in which the mitral valve remains closed.16 The back pressure in the atria as a result of the closed mitral valve may contribute to a longer time in relatively higher LA pressure.16 These processes during exercise may increase the susceptibility of the atria to wall stress, causing subsequent remodelling.

Atrial dilatation may have a critical role in the pathogenesis of exercise-induced AF. A meta-analysis of 54 studies found athletes have a 4.1 mm longer LA diameter and 7 ml/m2 larger LA volume compared with sedentary controls.17 Larger LA volumes are associated with a higher risk of AF in the general population.18 In the Framingham Heart Study, each 5 mm increase in LA size was associated with a further 39% increase in the risk of AF.19

The mechanisms that underlie LA dilatation may also trigger atrial fibrosis formation. Myocardial fibrosis is the replacement of healthy functioning myocardium with extracellular connective tissue. Both atrial and ventricular fibrosis have been associated with athletes. Mean LA fibrosis scores were higher in 20 endurance athletes (15.5 ± 5.9%) compared with 20 healthy controls (9.6 ± 4.9%).20 Another study in a cohort of triathletes found 17% to have cardiac fibrosis, with regression analysis showing that the completion of 1,880 km of cycling was a significant predictor for fibrosis.21 Rodent models have shown increased fibrosis in 16-week intensely trained rats compared with sedentary rats, which was associated with increased arrhythmia inducibility.22 Myocardial fibrosis has been implicated in arrhythmogenesis due to its poor capacity for electrophysiological conduction when compared with native cardiac tissue.23

Clinical implications

Cerebrovascular thromboembolic disease, namely stroke, is a major cause of morbidity in AF. Prophylactic anticoagulation is offered following the calculation of thromboembolic risk using clinical risk scores such as CHA2DS2-VASc.24 However, these scores have not been validated in athletes. In a survey of nearly 1,000 athletes, there was an increased risk of stroke even in athletes who had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of zero or one, implying athletes’ true risk of stroke is not fully captured.25 Athletes demonstrate LA dilatation, which is associated with a graded risk of stroke in the general population. Deranged flow in a dilated LA may be further augmented by bradycardia, which may predispose them to intracardiac blood stasis. Importantly, these phenotypes are not well captured in currently utilised risk scores such as CHA2DS2-VASc.

Occupational risks of trauma and major bleeding while taking anticoagulation medications may not reflect the risks of the general population, and the effects of living with AF in athletes are not well reported. A case report of a 75-year-old male cyclist with AF described the challenges of medical management. The individual could not be offered beta-blockers, a common treatment for AF, due to the athlete’s resting bradycardia and causing an unwanted reduction to their exercise capacity. Furthermore, anticoagulants were stopped due to their concern about crashing and bleeding.26 In a qualitative study of 10 athletes with AF, athletes described being told to cease sports participation or adapt to new training limits, which, for many of these individuals, would mean a significant reduction in their quality of life.27 The treatment goals in athletes should be managed on a case-to-case basis with individual risk-benefit options considered (table 1).

Table 1. Comparison of atrial fibrillation (AF) prognosis considerations between the general population and athletes

General population Athletes
Rate/rhythm control Beta-blockers to reduce heart rate Unfavourable due to limiting exercise capacity and being bradycardic
Anticoagulants Reduces stroke risk up to 80% Avoided in impact sports due to the risk of bleeding from injuries
Detraining Not applicable Unfavourable due to the desire to maintain performance levels

Conclusion

Exercise-induced AF is increasingly recognised. The mechanisms that underlie these observations are not fully understood. Stroke remains the most significant cause of morbidity in AF, and current risk scores may underestimate the risk of stroke in athletes. Future work should aim to provide more definitive evidence about the risk of AF and stroke in endurance athletes and offer more specific guidance for clinical teams caring for athletes with AF.

Key messages

  • Guideline-recommended physical activity reduces the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, this reduction appears to diminish with increasing doses of exercise, as seen in athletes
  • Athletes often present with all three key pathophysiological processes of arrhythmogenic potential, promoting AF development
  • Assessment of stroke risk using the CHA2DS2-VASc score may not fully capture the true risk of stroke in athletes with AF, highlighting a need for individualised treatment goals for athletes

Conflicts of interest

None declared.

Funding

CLD is funded through the British Heart Foundation (BHF) four-year PhD programme. AS is supported by an NIHR Advanced Fellowship (NIHR300867). GAN is supported by the BHF Research Excellence Award (RE/24/130031), BHF Programme Grant (RG/17/3/32774), Medical Research Council Biomedical Catalyst Developmental Pathway Funding Scheme (MR/S037306/1) and NIHR i4i grant (NIHR204553). GPM is supported by Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre. SP is funded by the NIHR through the Academic Clinical Fellowship programme.

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